NFL Power Rankings entering Week 10: After some massive trades, the Jaguars take the top spot

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NFC East: Cowboys | Giants | Eagles | Commanders
NFC North: Bears | Lions | Packers | Vikings
NFC South: Falcons | Panthers | Saints | Buccaneers
NFC West: Cardinals | Rams | 49ers | Seahawks

AFC East: Bills | Dolphins | Patriots | Jets
AFC North: Ravens | Bengals | Browns | Steelers
AFC South: Texans | Colts | Jaguars | Titans
AFC West: Broncos | Chiefs | Raiders | Chargers

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The Jaguars were the quietest team in the NFL this past offseason.

It was odd. They were coming off a 13-4 season and general manager James Gladstone had let everyone know he would be aggressive. The Travis Hunter trade in 2025 and his comments afterward — “I know every step that I didn’t take that related to fear, I regretted,” he said — set a foundation for his approach. Then, in the offseason, nobody spent less money than the Jaguars in free agency, and they didn’t have a first-round draft pick.

Apparently, Gladstone saw a market inefficiency in the pre-deadline trade market, and was waiting to spring his plan on everyone.

The Jaguars could look around the NFL and see there was no definitive Super Bowl favorite. So they decided to become one. Jacksonville made a series of trades Monday to get safety Jessie Bates III, and defensive tackles Davon Godchaux and Jordan Davis before Tuesday’s deadline. The Jaguars were the No. 1 team in DVOA and led the NFL in point differential before those trades. Now they’re much, much better.

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Godchaux and Davis replace DaVon Hamilton, the excellent defensive tackle who was the key driver in the Jaguars having the top run defense in football before he suffered a season-ending quad injury in Week 8. Bates gives Jacksonville an excellent playmaker on the back end. That goes with an offense that is fourth in the NFL in points scored, fifth in EPA (expected points added) per play and sixth in DVOA.

The Jaguars gave up a lot. They sent off a 2027 first-round pick and two second-round picks in the deals. And nobody in Jacksonville will care about the draft picks if this ends in a Super Bowl. And it might. That’s why Jacksonville takes over the top spot in the power rankings. The Jaguars already looked like a Super Bowl contender before the trades. Now they look like the favorite. After three decades of waiting to make a Super Bowl, the Jaguars are pushing hard to get the job done this season.

Quarterback Trevor Lawrence and head coach Liam Coen of the Jacksonville Jaguars are off to a strong 6-2 start and the roster got better before the trade deadline. (Photo by David Rosenblum/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

Quarterback Trevor Lawrence and head coach Liam Coen have the Jacksonville Jaguars off to a 6-2 start, and the roster got better before the trade deadline.

(Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

Here are the NFL power rankings after Week 9:

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It has already been a year for unexpected champions. Indiana, one of the worst power conference programs in college football history, won the national title with an undefeated season. Michigan men’s basketball won a title for the first time since 1989. The New York Knicks won the NBA championship, their first since 1973. The Milwaukee Brewers won their first World Series in their 57th season.

The Jaguars saw that and wanted to join the fun. They are one of four franchises, along with the Lions, Browns and Texans, to never make a Super Bowl. But the Jaguars saw an opportunity and pushed a lot of chips in on trades to upgrade the defense. They also have the third-easiest remaining schedule, according to DVOA, giving them a good shot at the top seed in the AFC. Pulling off what the Hoosiers, Wolverines, Knicks and Brewers did in 2026 and giving their fans a celebration for a lifetime is now realistically on the table.

The 49ers didn’t do anything to fall out of the top spot. The Jaguars’ moves just gave them precedence, for now. The 49ers continued to look fantastic in Week 9, forcing five second-half turnovers by the Raiders. Their defense has been a major surprise and the Niners should continue to be good now that Nick Bosa is back in the lineup and DeForest Buckner is aboard via a trade.

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Last season, Kyle Shanahan was a great NFL Coach of the Year candidate but was overlooked because that award often goes to coaches in their first year on the job and to coaches on teams that outperform preseason expectations. But for a second straight season the 49ers are winning despite major injuries. The job Shanahan has done with the 49ers should not be ignored again.

It’s fair to look at Buffalo’s last two opponents and be skeptical of the Bills’ defensive hot streak, but there has been improvement. The Bills allowed 144 yards and 10 points to the Ravens two weeks ago, and 178 yards and six points against Minnesota on Monday night. That came against Joe Fagnano and Carson Wentz, but it’s still two dominant performances in a row. For a defense that had been near the bottom of the league before that, it’s at least possible that Buffalo is figuring some things out on that side of the ball. That would help them in an increasingly challenging AFC. With other AFC contenders making moves, most notably the Jaguars, it will be interesting to see what the Bills do to improve before the deadline.

The Bears still got to 27 points and did enough to beat the Buccaneers on Sunday night, but it was startling to see Chicago struggle as much as it did. After scoring touchdowns on their first two drives, the Bears’ next 10 possessions were: four interceptions, a fumble, four punts and a field goal. Winning with that type of slump is notable. The Bears came up with the one play they needed, a 38-yard pass to a wide-open Colston Loveland, to get the game-winning field goal.

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It was particularly strange to see Caleb Williams throw four interceptions, considering he had never thrown more than two in an NFL game. But he never lost confidence, which allowed him to hit Loveland when the Bears needed it. “I’ll never not throw the ball,” Williams said. “I could throw 100 picks in one game. If it comes down to it, I’m going to throw that pass that I threw to Colston, or if it’s a tighter window, I’m going to rip it in there.”

The Bengals had an odd game Sunday. They were torching the Falcons in the first half and then were content to take the air out of the ball in the second half. They had just 26 offensive plays in the second half and 19 of those came with them leading by at least 14 points. That’s how Joe Burrow had just seven attempts and 32 passing yards after going 18 of 22 for 239 yards in the first half.

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Volume was a hang-up for Burrow in the second half Sunday, but efficiency hasn’t been an issue. He is completing 74% of his passes and has a shot to challenge Drew Brees’ single-season completion record of 74.4%. His completion percentage over expectation (CPOE), a metric that measures a quarterback’s accuracy, is a league-best 9.7, which is 3 points better than anyone else, according to RBSDM.com. Burrow is having a special season and will be in the MVP conversation until the end.

The most promising part of the Chiefs’ win on Sunday against the Jets might be that Chris Jones and George Karlaftis each had two sacks. Karlaftis had two sacks for the season before Sunday, Jones had just half of a sack, and that’s a big reason the Chiefs’ pass rush ranked near the bottom of the league. Even with five sacks as a team Sunday, Kansas City still has just 14 sacks. That’s the fourth-lowest mark in the NFL.

The Chiefs have been doing fine on defense without much of a pass rush, ranking top 10 in yards and points allowed. But it’s hard to be a top-10 defense while ranking in the bottom five in sacks. Perhaps the performance against the Jets will get the pass rush going, and in turn boost a defense that has already played well.

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The coin flipped on the Broncos’ side again, as they won an NFL-record 16th straight one-score regular-season game. They have 22 wins, counting postseason, since the start of last season and an astonishing 18 of them have been by one score. The Broncos had fewer yards and first downs than the Panthers but won 26-21.

After seeing it happen so often, the Broncos believe this is not luck.

“Well, when it keeps happening, I think our league is what it is,” Broncos head coach Sean Payton said, according to the team’s transcripts. “When those things keep falling your way, that’s not by accident.”

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One thing working in Denver’s favor is its schedule. DVOA says the Broncos have the second-easiest remaining schedule, while AFC West rival Kansas City is the sixth-toughest.

Whatever was happening the first three weeks of the season with the Packers, they’re far beyond that. Green Bay is 5-1 since a slow start. Since Week 4 it is fifth in EPA per play on offense and third in EPA per play allowed on defense. The Packers take a jump in the rankings for two reasons: The offense looked great again against the Patriots on Sunday, and Micah Parsons’ return is looming for the defense. It is very easy to forget that when Parsons tore his ACL last season the Packers were 9-3-1 and leading in the second half at Denver. And Green Bay has been playing much better on defense the past six games.

Josh Jacobs’ broken finger could have a negative effect. He will have finger surgery and miss a maximum of three weeks, according to CBS Sports’ Matt Zenitz. The Packers’ running game has been horrible all season but a little better with Jacobs. Taking a step back in the run game could also affect the passing game, which has been cooking with Jordan Love turning Matthew Golden and Christian Watson into one of the NFL’s top receiving duos.

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Is the Lions’ defense good? It has been better recently. For the third straight game the Lions’ opponent failed to top 17 points. Two of those games happened against the offensively challenged Vikings and Dolphins; the third game in that streak was against the Packers. Advanced metrics are kind to the Lions’ defense over the past three weeks too, as Detroit is eighth in EPA per play allowed and fifth in success rate allowed. Star safety Brian Branch returned from an Achilles injury three games ago, and it’s not a coincidence the Lions’ defense is much better with him back. The Lions have held opponents to 21 or fewer points in four straight games, the first time that has happened since 2016, according to the team’s site.

The Lions allowed just 228 yards and 12 first downs Sunday, and while that was against Miami, it’s still a lot better than Detroit looked on defense early in the season.

“We’ve cleaned a lot up,” Lions head coach Dan Campbell said, via the team’s site. “Guys are trusting what they’re being taught, they’re executing it and with that execution comes confidence.”

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Having a reliable backup quarterback in Drew Lock allows the Seahawks to take their time on Sam Darnold’s return from a quad injury. Seahawks head coach Mike Macdonald told Seattle Sports 710AM that Seattle plans to start Lock again to give Darnold another week to heal. Lock filled in for Darnold on Sunday and was fine in a 17-3 win over the Cardinals. He didn’t turn the ball over and didn’t take a sack, which is a big key for any Seattle quarterback as long as the defense is playing as it usually does. Lock has thrown 76 passes this season without an interception.

“I know that’s a big thing for me going into every week,” Lock said, via The Athletic. “Knowing that we can control the game with the run, operate on third downs well, keep the ball in our hands.”

Lock suffered an oblique injury Sunday but the Seahawks believe he’ll be fine for their next game against the Raiders.

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It’s hard to remember the last time a team that was 6-2 with one of the top two defenses in the NFL felt this hopeless. Monday night’s performance was absolutely deflating for the Vikings. Carson Wentz took over for an injured Kyler Murray, who had been struggling so much that everyone wondered if him sitting out Monday was a “soft benching.” Then Wentz went 8 of 25 for 81 yards, two interceptions and an 8.9 passer rating. It was one of the worst quarterback performances in recent memory. For the second straight season, the Vikings cannot find one quarterback to get Justin Jefferson the ball. And the common denominator through all those quarterbacks, head coach Kevin O’Connell, needs to be questioned too.

The Vikings shouldn’t completely fade away because the defense will keep them in every game. That was good enough for a 6-0 start. But the offense is simply too poor for the Vikings to remain in the top 10 of these power rankings.

Puka Nacua’s knee injury is a massive blow for the Rams and their worst nightmare because receiver depth was the weakest part of the roster. Davante Adams is on injured reserve and Nacua is likely to join him, without a clear idea on when either player will be back. In a competitive NFC — there are three viable wild-card contenders in the NFC North, another in the NFC West outside of the Rams and only three spots for all of them — that dearth puts the Rams in danger of missing the playoffs.

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Nacua was the fulcrum of the Rams’ offense. On Sunday, he had 150 receiving yards and nobody else had more than 20. He got 19 of the Rams’ 41 targets. Nobody other than Nacua and Adams has more than 287 receiving yards this season. The Nacua injury looks like the one the Rams couldn’t afford to have happen.

The Steelers can take a huge step toward the AFC North title. They play the Bengals on Sunday night and will have a big rest edge. They’re coming off a bye while the Bengals will play right after having a game in Spain, which is a tough turnaround. With a win the Steelers will clinch the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Bengals because of a season sweep.

In the first meeting, the Steelers won 30-27 and outgained the Bengals 411-352. They allowed Joe Burrow to throw for 282 yards and three touchdowns but also got 292 passing yards from Aaron Rodgers, 127 rushing yards from Jaylen Warren and took advantage of a muffed punt and a huge roughing the punter penalty by Cincinnati in the second half. Sunday’s rematch will go a long way in determining the division champion.

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Christian Gonzalez is a good cornerback who had a horrific game against the Packers. He allowed 105 yards to Matthew Golden and 82 to Christian Watson, according to Next Gen Stats. He’s the first player to give up 80 yards to two different players in the same game since at least 2018, according to Next Gen Stats. He had allowed only 196 yards in coverage over his first six games combined, according to NGS.

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