The American century has ended in Europe.
On Wednesday, two geopolitical shepherds will turn the relationships.
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Donald Trump Call With Vladimir Putin, the Russian leader brought the cold, as they made plans to end the war in Ukraine and agreed to change the presidential visits.
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US Defense Minister Beit Higseth, at the same time, went to Brussels and Tell the European allies “To take over the ownership of traditional security on the continent.”
The water gatherings highlight the Trump ideology “America first” and its tendency to see every issue or alliance as a country and the value of cent. It also confirms his freedom from the Foundation’s advisers who are drowned in foreign policy legends in the West, who is believed to have thwarted his first term.
Although HegSeth is horrific for NATO, something essential has changed.
America’s interventions won two global warfares that began in Europe, and after that it guaranteed the freedom of the continent in the face of the Soviet threat. But Trump said in the campaign’s path that he might not defend the coalition members who have not invested enough in the defense. Thus, he revived the permanent point that Winston Churchill put forward in 1940 about the Matthew of the “New World, with all its strength and strength” will go “to save and liberate the old.”
Trump returns to the logical basis used by many cautious presidents of foreign tangle since the beginning of the republic, saying on Wednesday, “We have something small called the ocean between them.”
Higseth is amazing glamorous
It has been clear that the second Trump administration would put new demands on European partners in America, which will now lead to painful options for governments that chose social spending on defense. NATO Secretary -General Mark Roty told the European Parliament last month that Europeans must obtain more cash for armies. He said: “If you do not do that, get Russian courses or move to New Zealand.”
But Higseth was still eager. He made the official character of Trump’s request to the coalition members to spend 5 % of the gross domestic product on the defense and said that the United States would give priority to its growing formulation with China and the security of its borders on Europe. “The United States will not tolerate an unbalanced relationship that encourages dependency,” said the new Pentagon president, who was wearing the pocket of the stars and letters.
The cruel new approach is not like Trump’s imagination of removing the Palestinians in Gaza to build “Riviera in the Middle East.” It is a rational response to changing political facts. The greatest generation fought World War II and produced the presidents who understood the risk of power vacuum in Europe. Any American has a great memory in the Cold War against the Soviet Union is at least in the mid -fifties. The strongest competitor to the United States is in Asia, not Europe. Therefore, it is fair for Trump to ask why the continent did not acquire self -defense after 80 years of defeat the Nazis.
Pioneering American presidents and European leaders failed to rethink NATO in the twenty -first century. In the past, the via Atlantic coalition has left itself badly exposed to the American President of transactions and patriots since the nineteenth century.
Foreign Minister Marco Rubio suggested in an interview with him recently on “The Megyn Kelly Show” on Sirius XM that the United States should not be the “front end” of European security but rather “rear stop.” And reprimanding large European powers. “When you ask these men, why you cannot spend more on national security, their argument is that it will require us to reduce social care programs, to the advantages of unemployment, to the ability to retire in 59 and all these other things, Rubio said.” This is a choice they did . But we support that? “
Trump’s treatment of allies such as Canada and Mexico, as well as his calls to Denmark to deliver Greenland, shows his contempt for old American foreign policy. He always praises Putin and China President Xi Jinping for their intelligence and strength. It is clear that they are believed to be the only worthy interlocutors of the cruel leader of another superpower, the United States.
“The Trump agenda is not related to European security:” He believes that the United States of America should not pay for European security, “said Nicholas Denjes, founder and director of Cogitopraxis, a strategic consultation in The Hague. “This is not a new era of transatlantic relationships. It is a new era of global power relations that replace the deliberate institutional structures of the liberal international system.”
The US message from Ukraine that Europe does not want to hear
The first test of this new reality of the United States will come to Ukraine.
Trump said that negotiations to end the Ukrainian war will begin “immediately” after his call with Putin, who was frozen by the West since his illegal invasion of Ukraine, a sovereign democracy, three years ago.
Ukrainian President Folodimir Zellinski was not included in the government’s concern in Kiev. Zelinski was at the center of everything that the Biden administration did in the war. Trump contacted Zelensky later on Wednesday, but the American president is already nourishing fears that he would cook a decision that prefers Russia. Trump asked: “One of the correspondents was asked whether Ukraine was an equal partner in peace talks. Trump replied:” It is an interesting question, “and it seems that he is thinking carefully, before responding,” I said that this was not a good war to go to, “apparently. Putin’s line purchased that the conflict was brutally invaded by an authoritarian neighbor.
Higseth was explicit. He put us down points of negotiation: that Ukraine was unable. Any peacekeeping force must consist of European and non-European forces and will not be covered by the NATO mutual defense item-which means that the United States will not save it in a clash with Moscow forces.
Former President Joe Biden was also conservative about obtaining Ukraine to obtain NATO membership, for fear of clash with nuclear armed Russia that could turn into World War III. Trump’s insistence that European peace memorization will not wear NATO costume will be seen as a wise, similar step by many observers to avoid the United States withdrawal into a conflict with Russia.
But Wednesday was also the best day for Putin since the invasion, because it swept through many aspirations of Ukraine. Hegseth argued that he was simply benefiting from realism. He has a point. No one in the United States or Europe believed that the watch could be returned to 2014. Ukraine was unable to strengthen its land in the battlefield despite billions of dollars in Western aid.
However, by removing such issues from the table, Trams, the supposed maker of deals, the Ukrainians of a bargaining slice that can be used to win concessions from his old friend Putin. As, Trump appears to have no objection to Russia, which maintains diseases of its unjustified invasion. This is not surprising – since America is like Russia, it now has a president who believes that the great powers are entitled to expand in the areas of its regional influence. But Russia’s reward for a favorable settlement would put a catastrophic precedent.
Historic analogy chilling
The US-Russia’s call and a future summit with Putin in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, which Trump will happen soon, may be a hint that Zelinski does not cut off the deal only-but rather Europe as well.
In a statement, France, Germany, Poland, Italy, Spain, the European Union and the European Commission, as well as the United Kingdom and Ukraine, warned that “Ukraine and Europe should be part of any negotiations.” And they warned Trump, who seemed to want a peace agreement at any cost, that “a just and permanent peace in Ukraine is a necessary condition for a strong Atlantic security.”
Former Swedish Prime Minister Karl Bilde is concerned about the comfortable invitation between Trump and Putin. “The annoying thing is, of course, that we have the two great players, the two great vanity … believing that they can maneuver all the issues alone,” said Richard Quest on CNN International. Bildt has sparked the most constant historical analogy – Adolf Hitler’s appeasement by Britain that allowed the Nazis to include Sodeenland. For European ears, this looks like Munich. It seems that two major leaders who want to get peace in our time, (above) a distant country know little. They are preparing to conclude a deal on the heads of that particular country. Many Europeans know how this particular movie ended. “
Trump’s detailed strategy is still transparent. The aspirations of many Zelinski’s aspirations mean that Kiev’s agreement on any Putin Trump’s deal cannot be considered a minor. After his fixed gains in the battlefield, there is no certainty that the Russian leader is desperate for a quick settlement like Trump, who has long long long longing for the Nobel Peace Prize.
But the possible settlement framework was the issue of private talks in Washington and European capitals for several months, even during the Biden administration. As Higseth explained, Ukraine’s hopes of restoring all its lost lands are unrealistic. What may appear is a solution similar to the Germany’s section after the Second World War, with the lands occupied by Russian frozen under its control with the rest of Ukraine-on the other side of the solid border-remains democratic. The western edge may be allowed to join the European Union, such as ancient West Germany. But this time, it will not make the American forces safe for freedom.
“The American position in Ukraine should not be surprised, as is the detailed today, anyone in Europe: it is what the European Opinioners tell me the record, in the back channels, behind the scenes for two years: West Ukraine and East Ukraine, such as West Germany and East Germany, but in this case – The European Union, yes, NATO No. “
Such a solution would evoke a harsh historical paradox. Putin, who saw in a state of despair from his position as a KGB officer in Dresden as a Soviet Union, may be about to create new East Germany in the twenty -first century with the help of America.
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