The Labor Party has fallen for a long time since its victory in the ground collapse last summer.
Certificate of seriousness The challenge of reform isThey held the intention to vote in every February. Both the two main parties have not been coordinated for more than 100 years.
Can reform win in the upcoming elections?
Under the law, the next general elections must be held by August 21, 2029 at the latest. The road forward is long, and everything is subject to change.
Will the Labor Party find its step? Will the conservatives return from? The worst defeat in their history? Will the momentum of reform in the past five years, and if so, can Nigel Farage win enough seats to become the next Prime Minister?
How did we get data?
To answer these questions, Telegraph collected opinion polls from a group of polling polls approved by the British polling council.
These are transparent, reliable and respectable bodies like Yougov, Opinium, Redfield and Wilton.
The result of each scanned survey has been established since July 2024 over the performance of this surveys last time, with degrees of the acceptance of the UK election data and the sample size. The displayed trend is the result of the local slope.
How to collapse the support of the parties
In the days after the last elections, Yougov took samples from more than 35,000 voters to find out how support varied through various rules.
On Election Day, the right -born women proved that it is more frequency than men, along with rebel reforms of the conservatives. The recent polls showed that the voters have increased.
Also, the lines of age are unclear: the support of reform has been supported in all demographic groups, but the increase is stronger among young people.
Conservative support is still strong with retirees, but Farage’s grip is also tightened in this age group. Work, and at the same time, retreat with all generations.
We know exactly the number of ballot cards delivered to the national and regional parties in all angles of the United Kingdom.
Business class It decreased throughout the country. The latest opinion polls show the lead in Midlands and the south outside London.
Plaid Cymru and SNP also enjoyed some success in taking advantage of the wealth of the ruling party in Wales and Scotland.
How much is Starmer’s work as Prime Minister?
The month of the honeymoon was short -term. Last July, he was a neutral figure in the eyes of the audience – as many people reported an inadman – which made him one of the party’s most popular leaders at that time.
But this soon changed. By October, it was more negative than Nigel Varage, which is exciting.
How many seats can repair win in the elections?
The first river system has long been a balance between the national vote and the number of seats in the rumors. 2024 was Most of the deviant elections in history When it comes to comparing the voting share and winning the seats.
The prediction of the winner of the 650th race at the electoral district level is not an easy thing. Opinion polls have taken in recent years to conduct what is known as MRPS-standing on “multi-level decline and after layer.”
This combines the huge committee, and the size of a sample is usually more than 10,000, with a set of distinctive data on the local population, of gender and age to the level of education and the date of voting.
What is the accuracy of opinion polls?
Each poll comes with a degree of uncertainty. Although all opinion polls are striving to interrogate a representative sample, and weigh the results to reflect the composition of the broader country, the error margin is inevitable.
In practice, the real position of a specific survey is likely to be included in two points of the quoted shape.
Each reconnaissance lawyer also has a detailed approach to creating the address of the address. The exact formulation of questions can vary, as well as the way in which “you do not know” answers.
Studies have shown that a group “survey” associated with alleviating the potential biases arising from individual opinion polls.
